The relationship between individual histologic features and disease progression in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

We have retrospectively studied 53 patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis and a histologic diagnosis of usual interstitial pneumonia and evaluated the prognostic significance of four individual histologic features (fibroblastic foci [FF], interstitial mononuclear cell infiltrate, established fibrosis, and intra-alveolar macrophages) using a semiquantitative scale of 0-6. An objective count of FF was also undertaken. Using weighted kappa coefficients, interobserver agreement between pathologists was moderate to good (0.56-0.76). Subjective and objective FF scores were strongly associated (R_s = 0.88, < 0.00005). Mortality was independently linked to a high FF score, p = 0.006, and a low percent predicted carbon monoxide diffusing capacity (D_LCO), p = 0.01. For pulmonary function, on univariate analysis, the strongest correlations were observed between increasing interstitial mononuclear cell infiltrate or FF scores and greater declines in forced vital capacity (FVC) or D_LCO at 6 months. Multivariate models revealed that increasing FF scores were independently associated with greater declines in FVC and D_LCO at both 6 and 12 months. Increasing interstitial mononuclear cell infiltrate scores were also independently linked to functional decline, but only at 6 months. These data suggest a reproducible method on biopsy for predicting rate of disease progression in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.