Local-Regional Recurrence After Neoadjuvant Endocrine Therapy: Data from ACOSOG Z1031 (Alliance), a Randomized Phase 2 Neoadjuvant Comparison Between Letrozole, Anastrozole, and Exemestane for Postmenopausal Women with Estrogen Receptor-Positive Clinical Stage 2 or 3 Breast Cancer

Background: The ACOSOG Z1031 trial addressed the ability of three neoadjuvant aromatase inhibitors (NAIs) to reduce residual disease (cohort A) and to assess whether switching to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NCT) after 4 weeks of receiving NAI with Ki67 greater than 10% increases pathologic complete response (pCR) in postmenopausal women with estrogen receptor-enriched (Allred score 6–8) breast cancer (BC). Methods: The study enrolled 622 women with clinical stage 2 or 3 estrogen receptor-positive (ER+) BC. Cohort A comprised 377 patients, and cohort B had 245 patients. The analysis cohort consisted of 509 patients after exclusion of patients who did not meet the trial eligibility criteria, switched to NCT or surgery due to 4-week Ki67 greater than 10%, or withdrew before surgery. Distribution of time to local-regional recurrence (LRR) was estimated using the competing-risk approach, in which distant recurrence and second primaries were considered to be competing-risk events. Patients who died without LRR, distant recurrence, or a second primary were censored at the last evaluation. Results: Of the 509 patients, 342 (67.2%) had breast-conserving surgery (BCS). Of 221 patients thought to require mastectomy at presentation, 50% were able to have BCS. Five (1%) patients had no residual disease in the breast or nodes at surgery. Among 382 women alive at this writing, 90% have been followed longer than 5 years. The 5-year cumulative incidence rate for LRR is estimated to be 1.53% (95% confidence interval 0.7–3.0%). Conclusions: Rarely does NAI result in pCR for patients with stage 2 or 3 ER+ BC. However, a significant proportion will have downstaged to allow for BCS. Local-regional recurrence after surgery is uncommon (1.5% at 5 years), supporting the use of BCS after NAI.